Monday 22 May 2017

Can we trust Theresa?


Normally an election is a choice between two different policies, two routes to the future. The differences may be hyped and over exaggerated. The reality never lives up to the prospects. But choice is still exciting, uncertain and the result is unpredictable.

Not this time. This election has all the excitement of predestination and the unpredictability of rigor mortis. Theresa's going to win and the only uncertainty is about how big  majority will be?
She's so sure of winning that the  manifesto is hers not the Conservative Party's. It's designed to give her a free hand and open the way to do the dirty on pensioners and tax payers by avoiding the usual commitments to do no harm to either.

She's committed to Brexit which wrong foots the LibDems who're finding less support than they expected for reversing it and a Labour Party manifestly divided on the issue, Yet there's nothing said on what kind of settlement. Just Brexit means Brexit. That could mean anything from staying in the Single market and paying to do so or full fronted confrontation followed by a walk out.The only commitment is to cut immigration down to tens of thousands.Which is plainly impossible.

So the only question is one which arises when the voting's over, the media have run out of vilification of Jeremy Corbyn, and Theresa has been installed on her throne of rolled up copies of the Daily Telegraph It's "can we trust Theresa?"

She's already disappointed. She promised not to hold an early election. She came in promising workers on the board. She's sold out on that. She promised to help the just about managing (JAMs) but hasn't.  She talked of cutting taxes but can't and now she's changed gear on dementia tax.

The Tory Party certainly isn't to be trusted. In dealing out the cards they always want, and manage, to slip a few aces to business and their class and they're not going t o clamour for shifting the burden from the badly off to wealth. Business is going to oppose workers on the board, restraints on bonuses, takeovers and top pay restraints

As for the EU if it lives up to its blustering and turns nasty however strong and stable she is she'll be forced to choose between going back humiliated or walking away damaged. Either will reignite the whole row about withdrawal, the fears of loss of jobs, decline of the City of London and controls on the Irish border. Not the happiest of prospects for government, the unity of the Tory party or Theresa's own future

At the moment the electorate is inclined to trust, though mainly because they don't trust Jeremy or Labour, so they have no real alternative.As for me I like the new language Theresa's learning though she'll never replace the Labour Party as protector of the people though I don't think Tory leopards will ever be happy wearing Labour's red spots and  I'm sure that only a strong opposition can keep them to their promises. But then I'm 100 percent biased.

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